Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at EM AMB REGIONALS 2025
decks
5
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
35
15-10-10
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.4%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
50.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1330
· median 1279
· range 1153–1590
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1014
Q1 1170
Q3 1392
1685
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.3% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 26.3% | -15.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 14.3% | 7 | 3-2-2 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 47.6% | -1.2 |
| Wind Allies | 13.3% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 54.7% | +2.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.2% | 7 | 3-2-2 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 61.8% | +5.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.0 |
| Water Allies | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.1% | 3 | 1-0-2 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.9% | +5.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Wind Overlord | 3.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.1% | +3.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
